Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 5.492327 6.185722 6.944080 7.836868 8.861455 10.003180 11.375477
2024-12-22 4.402021 5.295188 6.347262 7.684704 9.349178 11.364729 14.008794
2024-12-29 3.913008 4.950470 6.244547 7.991834 10.311540 13.316347 17.553548
2025-01-05 3.447819 4.538988 5.963361 7.982061 10.806900 14.675305 20.470962
2025-01-12 3.074165 4.184341 5.690115 7.914091 11.170371 15.850807 23.247983
2025-01-19 2.655012 3.713002 5.193528 7.455714 10.894818 16.042733 24.555798
2025-01-26 2.450232 3.518054 5.058613 7.492493 11.333216 17.320580 27.686113
2025-02-02 2.332148 3.433941 5.070763 7.741701 12.112674 19.204473 32.054517
2025-02-09 2.203716 3.319503 5.021711 7.882551 12.723615 20.874705 36.288447
2025-02-16 2.081598 3.201993 4.953716 7.979789 13.263627 22.477256 40.624502
2025-02-23 1.970728 3.091415 4.884377 8.062990 13.780914 24.090947 45.211687
2025-03-02 1.808257 2.883214 4.636392 7.812860 13.672501 24.543277 47.576272
2025-03-09 1.692795 2.746783 4.501682 7.757000 13.928679 25.740889 51.717206
2025-03-16 1.583301 2.611970 4.358606 7.672069 14.120841 26.840069 55.841494
2025-03-23 1.548769 2.603012 4.433096 7.994336 15.135895 29.716803 64.387749
2025-03-30 1.467556 2.505182 4.340109 7.988143 15.491657 31.270025 70.168349
2025-04-06 1.385071 2.398683 4.222249 7.920925 15.711706 32.556327 75.534815
2025-04-13 1.257696 2.201515 3.921395 7.462275 15.054982 31.819506 75.724488
2025-04-20 1.204526 2.138009 3.867696 7.499130 15.470986 33.567967 82.638168
2025-04-27 1.180859 2.127975 3.915165 7.748597 16.384240 36.600163 93.585358
2025-05-04 1.145798 2.093506 3.911830 7.889592 17.066866 39.173535 103.797487
2025-05-11 1.108143 2.051278 3.889556 7.986929 17.658209 41.603449 114.113264
2025-05-18 1.071413 2.008293 3.862300 8.070213 18.225002 44.051428 125.021520